Africa at a Turning Point?: Growth, Aid, and External Shocks by Delfin Sia Go, John Page

By Delfin Sia Go, John Page

Sub-Saharan Africa (Africa) is the realm s greatest improvement problem. a lot of the continent overlooked 20 years of monetary growth among 1975 and 1995, with the end result that typical source of revenue in line with individual used to be almost unchanged among independence and the flip of the twenty first Century. Lagging at the back of the remainder of the constructing international in approximately each indicator of human health, it's also the continent the place, on present projections, many of the international financial institution millennium improvement pursuits (MDGs) are not going to be met. but, there's renewed wish lately. because the mid-1990s, an acceleration of financial progress in a lot of Africa has produced emerging earning and quicker human improvement. This progress acceleration has raised questions and expectancies approximately Africa s improvement. Is there a turnaround in Africa s economic system? what is going to ascertain no matter if progress persists? Africa at a Turning aspect seems at interrelated facets of Africa's contemporary fiscal revival. It examines Africa's fresh progress within the context of its lengthy historical past of development accelerations, and collapses and seeks to reply to numerous questions - Is Africa certainly at a turning element? Have African nations realized from earlier coverage and institutional blunders? And are the commercial basics eventually pointing in the direction of extra sustainable progress? It bargains with the ongoing significance of donor flows for Africa, addressing such concerns as dealing with and offering larger relief, and the heritage and volatility of donor flows. As crude oil costs succeed in new highs, it additionally addresses the effect of commodity fee shocks on output variability in African nations; how oil exporting nations can deal with their new oil wealth; and the potential monetary and distributional affects of upper oil costs on oil uploading nations.

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Extra resources for Africa at a Turning Point?: Growth, Aid, and External Shocks (World Bank Development Essays)

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Of Congo, Rep. 34 Source: Arbache and Page 2007b. Note: An empty cell means that the country experienced neither growth acceleration nor deceleration. 31 32 ARBACHE, GO, AND PAGE conditions favor growth. The magnitude of economic contractions during deceleration episodes similarly indicates the severity of the consequences when economic and political conditions are unfavorable. Sixteen countries in our sample have avoided growth decelerations altogether. Many—Botswana, Cape Verde, Equatorial Guinea, Lesotho, Mauritius, Mozambique, and Uganda—are among the region’s top performers in per capita income growth over the three decades, but not all.

But, the achievements of the past decade provide no basis for complacency. As the essays in this volume show, laying the policy and institutional basis for longer-term growth, managing volatile commodity prices and aid flows, and turning growth in average incomes into growth in all incomes remain formidable—but manageable—challenges if Africa is to reach its turning point. PART I Patterns of Long-Term Growth in Sub-Saharan Africa CHAPTER 1 Is Africa’s Economy at a Turning Point? Jorge Arbache, Delfin S.

The recent boom in oil prices poses significant opportunities for accelerating growth and poverty reduction in Africa. In chapter 9, titled “Harnessing Oil Windfalls,” Devlin, Lewin, and Ranaweera describe fiscal approaches to managing oil windfalls. The chapter first outlines factors influencing the size and variability of current oil windfalls and the size of the government “take” from oil. Africa’s oil windfall is large, but exhaustible and volatile. The authors argue that the windfall in and of itself does not translate into a permanent increase in wealth.

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