By Richard Mesic Thomas Hamilton, RAND
Easy online game idea is used to narrate U.S. Air strength operations to their likey results on enemy habit.
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Additional resources for A Simple Game-Theoretic Approach to Suppression of Enemy Defenses and Other Time Critical Target Analyses
The strategies seem to mirror each other, with Red ﬁring more SAMs and Blue ﬂying more SEAD as both sides approach the end of the war. The middle line shows the value to Blue of each day’s combat. Blue’s value decreases as Red’s SAM ﬁring rate increases. However, Red cannot increase its ﬁring rate prematurely, for fear that it would not have adequate reserves to last to the end of the war, leaving Blue in a very favorable situation. If Red is foolish enough to engage prematurely, Red will lose assets, which will make its situation much worse in the future.
Neither side can bring a larger force to bear effectively. 44 0403 R This chart is a theoretical excursion of the implications of the concept of optimum Red attrition. Traditionally, analysts have considered two general classes of combat laws. 4 Originally developed for naval warfare, in which ships aim their ﬁre at a speciﬁc enemy ship, it has been often used as a description of air-to-air combat. Pilots do not ﬁre air-to-air weapons unless they have a particular target in their sights. In a Lanchester square conﬂict, the value of weapon quality is proportional to the value of weapon quantity squared.
Capabilities and enemy actions is essential. Game theory provides such a mechanism.